The PGA Tour takes on the Travelers Championship at TPC River Highlands this week in Cromwell, Connecticut. We’re following up another Major with another signature event where, you guessed it, Scottie Scheffler is the defending champion. We’ve got a strong field this week so let’s dive into the numbers for this week’s tournament with Bet The Number, the premier golf analytics platform.

The Course Blueprint 🗺️ 

TPC River Highlands is a shorter par 70, measuring out at 6,844 yards with only 2 par 5’s. Scores have gotten lower since the stronger fields have shown up here. There have been a few minor design changes, but nothing of significance for scoring. From our boots on the ground, we’re hearing that the course conditions are good. It’s soft but will firm up with the dry weather forecasted.

Let’s take a look at this week’s model:

• OTT: There’s a few non-driver holes on each nine. Accurate drivers are rewarded here. The course is only a 3.4/10 on the bomber’s paradise scale and although the rough is healthy, it’s not that penal. We just have standard SG:OTT vs. the field in the BTN Model weighing in at 20%.

• APP: The large majority of approach shots here are inside of 200 yards. There’s very few long shots and only one par 3 that’s long. Players that create birdies with a 9 iron or less will separate themselves this week. We’ve got a standard SG:APP vs. the field at 20% weighting + SG:APP per attempt in the 125-180 yardage range at an additional 20% weighting.

• ATG: Chipping is relatively straightforward here. Being in the bunkers on many holes is a penalty but the grass type doesn’t provide any challenge. If you REALLY wanted to dive deep, you could look into longer fairway chips as there will be a few on key holes this week like #13 & #15. We have a standard SG:ARG vs. field at a 15% weighting this week.

• Putting: A lot of mid range birdie looks will be had by the contenders this week. 8-15 footers are more of a factor this week than those 5-10 foot par saves. We used the same course filters as last week, with this being poa that doesn’t putt like west coast poa. Lag putting here is elementary coming in from Oakmont though. We used a SG:Putting per attempt in the 5-15’ range at a 10% weighting.

• Birdie or Better Percentage: Conditions of the course are good. We think there’s going to be some low scores this week, so we threw in BoB to round out the model at a 15% weighting.

This week’s BTN Model favorite is (🥁 drumroll please…) Scottie Scheffler. Anyone surprised? Worth mentioning that Sepp and recently turned professional Luke Clanton are also a perfect 10 model rating this week. Paired with some other big names like Collin and Rory, we’re in for an exciting signature event this week.

Matchup of the Week (5-7-1) 🤼‍♂️ 

Akshay Bhatia (+100) ✅ over Sungjae Im (-130) on DraftKings

This is one of the more intriguing matchups on the board, with both players showing flashes but lacking consistency. The BTN Matchup Tool doesn’t give a clear edge either way, which makes the even-money value on Akshay more appealing.

Sungjae’s approach game has completely fallen off a cliff. He’s lost strokes on approach in 11 straight starts, a staggering statistic for a player of his caliber. That’s not just a dip in form, that’s a full-blown trend. Akshay, on the other hand, has been trending positively with his irons and brings a lefty shot shape that suits the course setup well, especially with the number of right-pin locations and mid-iron shots expected.

Even money on the guy hitting it way better? We’ll take that every time. Give us Bhatia.

Feature Spotlight 🔦 

This week’s Feature Spotlight: The UPDATED Past Top Performers section on the Course page. A common thought as you’re betting on a golf tournament is simple: what does it take to contend? Before, you could go through and see how those past performers played individually… but we never showed a general breakdown of how the Top __ players performed, round by round each year.

We’ve added Past Tournaments Top 5/10/20 SG Averages. I’ll lay out a scenario for you. It’s Friday night, we’re halfway through the tournament and you know the live stats from our Live Tournament stats section on the Tournament Page. You can reference these averages to then decide who you think will regress or progress towards what we can expect to see at the top of the leaderboard come Sunday.

Live bets are becoming more and more popular. That’s an interesting way to approach how you could make a more informed live bet throughout the tournament.

GS Luke’s Prop Preview ⛳️ 

GS Luke has been crushing it with the prop picks over on the BTN blog. Stay tuned to his X for the release of his prop picks this week and more great insights and analysis for every round.

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Best of luck this week!

Ryan L.

Bet The Number