The PGA Tour takes on the Wyndham Championship this week at Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, North Carolina. As the last event of the PGA Tour regular season before the FedEx Cup Playoffs start, many golfers on the cusp of the top 70 in FedEx points will be jockeying to secure their position in the playoffs during this event. Let’s dive into the numbers for this week’s tournament with Bet The Number, the premier golf analytics platform.

The Course Blueprint 🗺️ 

Sedgefield Country Club is a Donald Ross course that plays as a short par 70 with two par 5s and four par 3s. Length is definitely a storyline here as players will be hitting plenty of less-than-driver tee shots; the longer players may be hitting as low as 5 drivers per round. Real separation will be made on the greens as this is a difficult course to putt with fast, sloping greens.

Let’s take a look at this week’s model:

• OTT: As mentioned, this is a heavy less-than-driver course; we’re only looking at a 4.4/10 on the bomber’s paradise meter. Accuracy will be much more helpful here as this course presents a severe rough penalty. The BTN Model features Distance from Edge of Fairway this week as its sole OTT metric with a 20% weight.

• APP: On average, players are hitting 7-8 shots from 125-175 yards at Sedgefield. Wedges and short irons are the name of the game this weekend, and hitting approaches close to the pin is a must due to the difficult greens. The BTN Model features standard SG:APP at a 20% weight this week, and SG:APP from 100-170 yards for an additional 30% to put a heavy emphasis on approach play.

• ATG: Chipping is tough here with the grainy Bermuda grass around the greens. That said, we’re looking at a pretty high GIR rate, and reachable par 5s, so top contenders won’t be hitting too many ATG shots. The BTN Model features Scrambling at a 10% weight this week to credit players that can save pars if they miss the green.

• Putting: Tough course to putt with quick, sloping greens. Players that aren’t hitting approach shots close to the pin will definitely be staring down 3-putts. The BTN Model features SG:Putt from 6-15’ at a 10% weight to reward players that can make birdies/save pars, and 3-Putt Avoidance from 25’+ at a 10% weight as those extra strokes will matter.

This week’s BTN Model favorite is (🥁 drumroll please…) Emiliano Grillo. Grillo is currently 66th in FedEx Cup points ranking and might face some pressure from the players outside the top 70 looking for their chance to sneak into the playoffs. Can he hold them off?

Matchup of the Week (9-9-1) 🤼‍♂️ 

Ben Griffin (-120) ✅ over Robert MacIntyre (-105) on DraftKings

The final regular season stop at the Wyndham gives us a sneaky-good matchup between two players in solid form, but the edge clearly goes to North Carolina native Ben Griffin when you dig into the numbers. Both players have been trending nicely, but Griffin stands out in our model this week. He ranks 7th in Strokes Gained: Approach compared to Bobby Mac’s 32nd — a key stat at Sedgefield, where precision with the irons is everything. The course history leans heavily Griffin’s way as well, with two top 10s in his last three starts here. MacIntyre, by contrast, has never found a groove at this track, with a missed cut and a T65 in his two appearances. We’ll ride the form, the irons, and the home-course edge with Ben Griffin to close out the regular season on a high note.

Feature Spotlight 🔦 

This week’s Feature Spotlight: The Approach card on the Course page. This card is packed with several key pieces of information that we’re looking for every week when breaking down the course:

1. Approach Shot Distance Buckets: How many shots are players hitting from each distance bucket? This helps us choose our SG:APP distance filters by seeing where the most shots are coming from.

2. Approach Shot Lies: How often are players hitting from fairways? This helps us determine if we need to consider modeling players out of the rough vs. fairways.

3. Rough Penalty: How severely are players penalized when they miss fairways? This often feeds into the accuracy vs. length conversation off the tee.

Put all this together, and we have a ton of great data to inform both our OTT and APP modeling on any given week.

GS Luke’s Prop Preview ⛳️ 

GS Luke has been crushing it with the prop picks over on the BTN blog. Check out his Wyndham Championship picks and analysis here, and stay tuned to his X for more GS Luke content.

Join the BTN Community

• Try BTN Free for 7 Days: New users get full access to our analytics and tools with a free 7 day trial.

• Stay sharp with BTN on X: We’re always breaking down stats and insights on our X account.

• Help Shape our Roadmap: Got a feature request or feedback? We’re all ears.

Best of luck this week!

Ben K.

Bet The Number