We don’t have much time to decompress from an incredible Masters tournament as the PGA Tour rolls on with its next signature event: the RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links. Same story as last year, Rory is heading home with another green jacket and is once again not in the field this week. The rest of the top players on Tour are locked and loaded for another $20M purse. Let’s dive into the numbers for this week’s tournament with Bet The Number, the premier golf analytics platform.

The Course Blueprint 🗺️ 

Harbour Town Golf Links is a ball striker’s paradise. It has tight corridors and small greens, and complete control of your ball is a must. We might get some rain on Sunday, but besides that we should see a relatively firm course out there.

Let’s take a look at this week’s model:

• OTT: The course features tight landing zones, and distance isn’t a big factor here. Accuracy is rewarded in our BTN Model this week with Distance from Edge of the Fairway factored in. For those that like to get creative with your modeling, right misses are preferred out here more often than not.

• APP: Harbour Town will have players hitting many approach shots between 140-200 yards, so we gave this approach bucket a little extra weight this week. The par 3’s aren’t very long, and the main key shots from longer range will be 2nd shots on the par 5’s. The number of short approaches is pretty low as well. Focus on mid-range iron players to outperform

• ATG: The Bermuda grass is showing through here as the weather warmed up. That will introduce some more grain around the greens, but nothing overly difficult. Players will mostly be hitting fairway chips and can even take putter for many of them.

• Putting: The course has small greens, which makes lag putting almost non-existent this week. Look for mid-range putts to carry the weight and be the difference maker for players outperforming. We’ve got putts from 8-15’ filtered to overseed in our BTN Model this week.

This week’s BTN Model favorite is (🥁 drumroll please…) Cameron Young. Tied with the always modeling high Scottie Scheffler, both coming close to a green jacket this week. Wouldn’t be surprising to see one of them get it done this week

Matchup of the Week (6-5-1) 🤼‍♂️ 

Ryo Hisatsune (-110) ✅ over J.T. Poston (-120) on DraftKings

The matchup of the week features two players who are neck and neck in the BTN Custom Model, checking in 19th and 21st overall. So yes, this one is tight. But when it comes down to recent form and steadier play, we’re going to side with Ryo Hisatsune over J.T. Poston this week at Harbour Town.

The biggest case for Poston is the course history. He’s played some solid golf at Harbour Town over the years, and this is absolutely a place where experience and comfort matter. That said, Hisatsune handled himself just fine here in his first trip last season, finishing T18, so it’s not like he showed up, got confused by all the trees, and missed the ferry back home.

The BTN Matchup Tool likes Ryo too, and that helps seal it. Over the last 24 rounds, he holds the edge in several key categories, including Strokes Gained: Total, Off the Tee, and Approach. He’s also been the more consistent tee-to-green player, which is usually a pretty good recipe at Harbour Town, where precision matters a whole lot more than just bombing driver all over creation.

It should be a sweat, but give us Ryo and let’s go cash a ticket in a plaid jacket.

GS Luke’s Prop Preview ⛳️ 

GS Luke is as sharp as they get when firing on round props, and he’s all over the new BTN Round Prop functionality. Stay tuned to his X for all of his free BTN plays!

Join the BTN Community

• Try BTN Free for 7 Days: New users get full access to our analytics and tools with a free 7 day trial.

• Stay sharp with BTN on X: We’re always breaking down stats and insights on our X account.

• Help Shape our Roadmap: Got a feature request or feedback? We’re all ears.

Best of luck this week!

Ryan L.

Bet The Number